On pure maths, the stock price fall looks about complete. In fact, the stock had already been falling as the market fretted about higher interest rates. The hammering, therefore, was long due, since it is common wisdom that at the first sign of trouble stocks with huge rerating get hammered. The 97% surge in the stock price implied it was enjoying a sharp 75% rerating. However, until the last week’s battering, Netflix’s stock had almost doubled during this period – to $690 from $350. ![]() Since the beginning of 2020, the consensus 2022 earnings estimate had only risen 22% – to $11.25 from $9.25. Once a growth stock disappoints investors, a sizeable stock price downside becomes inevitable. Netflix’s shares plummeted over 20% in just one day last week as the company guided analysts to cut back their sales forecasts. The steep selloff that the Netflix stock witnessed last week is quite a salutary lesson for investors about the issues now confronting the US tech sector. ![]() In other words, US equities were simply seen as overvalued. Indeed, we have emphasised earlier that recent asset manager studies of future 5- to 10-year returns have shown that US equities would likely trail Global ex UK equity market returns by two to three percentage points per annum. We are seeing a slow but steady unravelling of part of the overvaluation and overexuberance that the US asset markets have come to see over the previous two years. European equity markets fell sharply on Friday, but the UK equity market is still up for the year. However, while US equities had a rather dismal week, the experience was not as uniform across other global equity markets. ![]() The US equity markets witnessed one of the worst weekly declines in recent times with the S&P500 dropping 5.6% and NASDAQ plunging 7% to leave the markets down 7.7% and 12.0%, respectively, for the year.
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